Overseas Investment $ 2 Lakh

BUY GOOGLE ON NASDAQ...

Sandeep Singh

Posted online: Monday , October 15, 2007

Earlier this year, when Tata Steel was looking to acquire Corus, many Indian investors were more than just bystanders to a defining moment in Indian business. Several among them were buying and selling shares of not just Tata Steel, but also shares of Corus listed on the London Stock Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), something they couldn’t have done barely a couple of months back.
That new-found range in choice came from the progressive easing of rules relating to overseas investment. First, the Reserve Bank of India increased the limit Indians could remit abroad, from $25,000 to $50,000 to $1,00,000 and, last month, to $2,00,000. Then, it eased norms for where all Indians could invest. Financial services providers have been working on putting the cross-border transaction linkages, and it is gradually coming together, more in some asset classes than in others.
StocksLast week, ICICIdirect, started giving its subscribers the option to transact on the three leading US stock exchanges, namely NYSE, Nasdaq and the American Stock Exchange. Reliance Money has had this option since January, not just on US exchanges, but also on several other stock exchanges through its partner, CMC Capital Markets.
To start, ICICIdirect subscribers, for instance, have to fill up a registration form and a tax exemption form (so that your capital gains are taxed only in India and not is the US too), and pay a one-time fee of Rs 999. Within three days, ICICIdirect will open an account for you with its foreign partner, Penson Financial Services, on the ICICIdirect platform itself.
In order to buy shares, you need to first transfer dollars into your overseas account with Penson. This transfer, which can be done through ICICI or any other bank, normally takes one to three days, with the bank levying a nominal charge for converting your rupees into dollars and remitting it. For every transaction, ICICIdirect will charge a brokerage of 0.75 per cent of the transaction value or $9, whichever is higher. Reliance Money, as in the domestic market, is dirt-cheap. Says Sudip Bandyopadhyay, director and chief executive officer, Reliance Money “Through CMC Capital Markets, we are charging just 0.05 per cent of transaction value.”
Besides a transaction platform, Indian brokerages also give investors financial information on companies. This is, however, purely of information nature, not advisory. Says Anil Kaul, head-retail, ICICIdirect: “In developed markets, there are rules on who can give advice and who can’t.”
The RBI’s rules let you invest in financial securities provided you take delivery in them. So, for instance, in shares, ICICIdirect lets you buy and sell stocks, American Depository Shares (ADS), index options for hedging, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Your universe of stocks has suddenly expanded manifold. Indicatively, there are 3,612 listed securities on the NYSE, several of them from companies whose products and services you might have used and admired.
The US dominates with 3,128 companies. Other geographies are also represented, with companies from other geographies having ADS listings. From India, there are 11 companies who have ADS listed on the NYSE, including one that is not listed in India, namely BPO major WNS Holdings. Says Kaul: “This product will grow as people will look to diversify their equity exposure. But it will also require educating investors.”
Besides product knowledge, two such issues are taxation and currency movement. Overseas share and mutual fund transactions are taxed at a higher rate than those done in India. Long-term capital gains tax is 20 per cent with indexation benefits, short-term capital gains tax at the marginal rate. The other variable is currency. If the rupee appreciates against the dollar, you get fewer rupees when you bring back your dollar.
Mutual FundsIn mutual funds, educating investors is the second step. At the moment, mutual funds and distributors are busy educating themselves on how they can sell the idea of foreign mutual funds to Indian investors. On a parallel track, mutual funds registered in India with Sebi have been launching overseas funds, but these are investments made in rupees, and are hence outside the $200,000 limit. Also, the range in this is rather limited and the themes very broad, centred primarily around geographies.
What will form part of the $2,00,000 limit are funds floated abroad. In the US alone, there are about 8,000 schemes, which can either be inviting or intimidating. Says Amar Pandit, financial planner, “If you are not savvy, choosing a scheme can be a tough task.”Even if you are able to choose a scheme, investing in it is an arduous process. Overseas mutual funds — for instance, Vanguard — can’t come to India and offer their overseas schemes because they need to be registered with Sebi. A chief executive officer of a fund house told us that a proposal to this effect has been lying with Sebi for two-and-a-half years.
Mutual funds in India and distributors can go ahead, but they are still working things out. So, for instance, Fidelity Mutual Fund in India can offer schemes of its US parent. Or, a distributor like Bajaj Capital can tie up with a foreign distributor. Says Rajiv Deep Bajaj, managing director, Bajaj Capital: “We are still studying the modalities.” Adds Kaul: “Regulations allow it. We need to see if there is enough demand.” For now, the only way you can invest in foreign funds is if you do the spadework yourself. That means contacting a fund house abroad, opening an account with it and remitting money to it to buy units.
Real estateReal estate too is a work-in-progress. Several European and Southeast Asian countries allow non-residents to buy property, which doesn’t come cheap. Even if you have the purchasing power, your choices are limited. There are some real estate advisory firms who facilitate land purchase abroad, but for earmarked parcels only.
One such firm is UK Land Investment, which is facilitating the purchase of ex-agricultural land in New Addington, Bromley, Kent. Says Subash Bhat, director (legal and commercial), UK Land Investment India: “You have to comply with KYC norms. If your purchase price exceeds the per year remittance limit of $2,00,000, you can even make deferred payments.”
On your part, there are many rules to conform to. The payment is remitted from your bank account in India to a bank account in UK. At the time of transfer, the bank will ask you to fill up FEMA Form A2, provide your PAN card, and give a certificate from a CA verifying the source of your funds. You might even have to make a personal visit to get the land registered and complete the paperwork.
What’s needed is one-stop shops, who have a range of properties to offer and the wherewithal to carry out the transaction for you. Sandalwood Residential Property Consultants, a division of Jones Lang Lasalle Meghraj, is eyeing a mid-2008 start. Says Raminder Grover, chief executive officer, Sandalwood: “We have been getting inquiries for Malaysia, Dubai and the UK. We will provide residential property consultancy across the globe. We will help identify properties and facilitate processes, including legalities.”
CommoditiesOne of the conditions laid down by the RBI for overseas investing is that trades have to lead to delivery, which makes commodity investing unfeasible. In time, as markets open up further and more players enter the fray, even these norms will be relaxed and access will increase. The day is not far when you won’t just be able to buy and sell Corus shares, but also take a position on steel prices.
STOCK MARKETWhat now?On August 21, when the sub-prime tremors intensified, the BSE Sensex fell to 13,989, and experts forecast a period of lull. Fifty days on, 18,000 has been scaled, and new all-time highs touched. On its Friday closing of 18,419, the Sensex is up 32 per cent since its August low, as an abundance of liquidity has followed favourable currency movement and strong fundamentals into India.The burning question: is irrational exuberance setting in or is this the India story at work? Even at 18,500, the Sensex PE, based on projected 2007-08 earnings, works out to about 22. That’s not ridiculous, but fair value.The movement is more in the frontline companies. In the BSE-500, of the 85 companies that have a market cap of above Rs 10,000 crore, 53 touched their highs since October 1. By contrast, of the 92 companies with a market cap of less than Rs 1,000 crore, only seven hit their highs during this period. Metals, real estate, oil and gas, and capital goods gained big, pharma and IT crawled. While the growth can’t be denied, what might be of concern is the speed of this rise. But if you are in it for long haul, fits and starts shouldn’t bother you.
http://www.expressmoney.in/news/BUY-GOOGLE-ON-NASDAQ.../92306.html

Interviews on Sharp market rise

HAS THE MARKET LOST ITS MIND?

Sandeep Singh
Posted online: Monday , October 15, 2007 at 1332 IST

TUSHAR PRADHAN, Chief investment officer, AIG Mutual Fund
‘No, this rise is backed by growth’It’s neither a bubble nor an overstatement. The rise is backed by growth. That reading is backed by numbers. By conservative estimates, I expect earnings of Sensex companies to grow 17 per cent in 2007-08, 15 per cent in 2008-09. At 18,500 levels, the Sensex is discounting its 2007-08 earnings 22.3 times, 2008-09 earnings 19.2 times. Those valuations might look marginally only on the higher side, but consider this: for 2005-06, we had projected Sensex companies to post earnings growth of 13 per cent; they managed 31 per cent. The market knows all.However, we are still in the boom-bust mindset. In that state, one starts to ignore the GDP growth forecast of 8.5-9 per cent a year for the next five years. In fact, 9 per cent GDP growth suggests the earnings potential of this market has been understated. The market is not an arbiter of reality, but of perception. Today, utility companies are growth companies, as they are helping build infrastructure. However, I do feel the excitement on them is a little more than they merit. What I also don’t like about this market is that people are talking too much in general terms. More than the index, the focus should be on companies, as there are many businesses that have not experienced the current surge.There are risks. If the political situation gets volatile, we might see market reducing its intensity, but only for a while. There is a lot of FII money coming in. Even if interest rates are reduced in India, hedge funds might move out, but not FIIs. Yes, mutual funds have been net sellers, but that’s primarily to meet redemptions.I continue to believe in Indian equities as a long-term investment.Investors need to look at long-term opportunities in equities to build wealth, which is something that doesn’t change with market movement. Invest regularly, for five, 10, 15 years, which is best done through a mutual fund.

AMITABH CHAKRABORTY, President, equities, Religare
‘No, it’s being driven by liquidity, fundamentals’The two major reasons for the market rally are fundamentals and liquidity. FIIs (foreign institutional investors) are pumping in big money into India and China — both markets that held their own even as other markets reeled under the impact of the sub-prime contagion. The appreciation in the rupee against the dollar has aided this trend, because FIIs are also making an additional return on the currency exchange on exit.Drilling down, the second-quarter results have started trickling in.For 2007-08, we expect revenue growth of the Sensex companies to be around 21 per cent, operating profit growth at 17 per cent and net profit growth at 19 per cent. We believe the Sensex EPS for 2008-09 will be Rs 1,010. That gives a forward PE of about 18, which suggests there is scope for further growth. Among sectors, we are bullish on construction, telecom and cement.Elsewhere, DLF will replace Dr Reddy’s in the Sensex from November 19, which should see increased investor participation in the real estate scrip. Some strong IPOs have also hit the market and done well, the most noticeable being PowerGrid. So, there are many factors behind the rise. There are risks, but even if those eventualities materialise — the political situation and high oil prices — the damage will be limited and cause only a slight stagnation in the market.Still, a long-term approach to investing is a must. Small investors should not indulge in day trading, as intra-day volatility in the Sensex is expected to average 600 points. Invest only in stocks you know and companies you understand, not because someone has asked you to.Invest for a five- to 10-year period, and don’t get flustered by periodic market volatility.

PARAG PARIKH, Chairman, Parag Parikh Financial Advisory Services
‘Yes, prices are running way ahead of the story’The reasons for the current rise in the market go beyond fundamentals. Bull runs are not led by fundamentals; in fact, fundamentals follow the run. Right now, the market is being pulled primarily by liquidity and sentiment. There is a lot of irrationality in the market. People are willing to pay sky-high valuations, and some of this thinking can be attributed to inexperience. There are no retail investors in this market, there are only retail punters. For now, every one believes the market can only go up and can’t come down. The market is currently filled with people who have never seen a bear market, and so they don’t know how a market can come crashing down.In such a scenario, where everyone believes the market can’t be derailed, even a small change or a touch of negativity or a random event can pull the trigger. It could be, for instance, political instability, recession in the US; economic growth in Europe is also slowing down. This market hasn’t discounted those situations. In the past few days, we saw the Left threatening to withdraw support to the government, but the market ignored it. India is a great economic story, but this market might be getting ahead, way too ahead, of that story.It’s also a changing market. This market has little for ‘value’ investors, who typically buy when valuations are down. There are very few stocks trading at a discount to their intrinsic value. There are stocks available at fair valuations. Invest in them, but only if you are here to stay. If you are simply looking to ride the wave, be warned, the stakes are high — the market can punish you bad.
http://www.expressmoney.in/news/HAS-THE-MARKET-LOST-ITS-MIND/92303.html

Interview- Rajat Jain

‘Don’t invest more than 10-15% abroad’

Sandeep Singh

Posted online: Monday , October 08, 2007

International funds are the flavour of the season, with several funds targeting specific geographies — emerging markets, Asia, India and China, and so on — hitting, or waiting to hit, the market. While the deluge is recent, Principal Mutual Fund was one of the first to launch an overseas fund, PNB Global Opportunities, in March 2004. Chief investment officer Rajat Jain expects a lot of activity in this overseas investing space. In an interview to our correspondent, Jain spoke about a range of issues related to overseas investing.
Principal Global Opportunities Fund, was among the first overseas funds to be launched. How is it doing and do you have any plans to launch more international funds?The scheme is doing well. When we launched it, it was a Rs 15 crore fund. Today, its corpus is Rs 610 crore. Since only the amount invested is considered to calculate the overseas limit of $300 million for a fund house, and the scheme has grown a lot on performance, it can still take on more investments. This fund invests fully in international markets. As of now, we don’t have any plans to launch a fund where 65 per cent is invested in India and the rest overseas.
Recently, the overseas investment limit for a fund house was increased from $200 million to $300 million. Are you happy with such gradual hikes? Or, would you like to see a higher limit or be completely done away with?We welcome the recent hike in limits for offshore investment by Indian mutual Funds. The industry is yet to utilise the current investment limits for such investments. However, my sense is that the limits will get up used faster now as investors see the benefits of diversification and investing in offshore investments using mutual funds.
What is the breadth of overseas products investors can expect from your fund house?Globally, Principal manages funds in different categories like US equities, global equity, emerging markets equity, fixed income and real estate, among others. We will look to launch products in India that give value to investors here and which are likely to find good demand. However, there is currently no product on the anvil in this space.
How much of an investor’s portfolio should go into overseas funds?It can’t be a very large part of your equity allocation. Although emerging markets are growing well, I would suggest capping overseas exposure at 10-15 per cent. Also, only existing investors should invest in overseas funds. New investors should stick to domestic funds.
But aren’t domestic share valuations stretched?I look at the market in two parts. The first is performance of the Indian economy and government spending. The second is the flow of funds. As far as the economy goes, there is a gradual slowdown. Still, GDP growth of 8.5 per cent is expected, and there’s not much concern on that front. Corporate profit growth is expected to remain at about 15 per cent a year over the next five years.India moves in tandem with global markets now. In the long run, though, the differentiation in performance comes in. India has a strong capital expenditure cycle and strong visibility. Infrastructure sectors will continue to do well.At the same time, there will be meaningful volatility, which will create opportunities.
Which infrastructure sectors in particular?The highest growth is expected in power, roads and telecom. Regulations in these sectors have matured and are stable. Earlier, regulations were evolving, but now we have workable model in these sectors, and things are working well. Demand is not an issue. Also, funding is, by and large, coming through. I see a lot of value creation in these three sectors.
Even the power sector can be divided further. Which segment will see the maximum growth?Suppliers to companies in the power industry. A lot of investment is needed in transmission and distribution. So, companies who go down the chain have good potential to grow.
What are the risks that this may not pan out as planned?It can only be regulatory changes. Regulations need to be stable. If any stringent regulations come in, people putting money will get wary.
Still, one has to pick the right companies. What parameters do you focus on while picking stocks?We give the maximum importance to management, as they are the trustees to our investment.So, we look for good, competent managements. Then, comes the business. Here, we try to see if the company has any unique edge — for example, the cheapest product, efficiency of scale for a commodity business. We try to see if there is a fundamental change happening in the company that could make it better. Is the company getting into new areas, which will impact it positively and help it better the market? Finally, we look at valuations.
What’s your take on the proposal to waive entry loads on investments made directly and through the Internet?It will be good for investors, but the advisory role of distributors will be missed.
But not all advice offered by distributors is of the highest quality. And neither do all investors seek advice.The quality of advice is gradually changing. Increasingly, new distributors are coming in, and giving good long-term advice. I meet distributors in my capacity as a fund manager or chief investment officer, and I can see the quality of questions they ask. Their level of knowledge is good. They ask questions on behalf of investors.
Now, there are reports that Sebi might ask mutual funds to not just waive loads for certain types of investments, but also ask funds to charge less as expenses?We feel the fee structure for mutual funds in India is competitive and in line with that in developed markets. Besides, the fund industry has managed to spread the investment culture in the country, and the cost of reaching out to the customer is high on account of infrastructural issues and technology costs.
http://www.expressmoney.in/news/Dont-invest-more-than-10-15-abroad/92271.html

GOLD Investment

SHINING THROUGH

Sandeep Singh

Posted online: Monday , October 08, 2007 at 1521 IST

In the universe of gold investing, two significant things happened last month. One, gold prices, the world over, hit levels last seen in 1980. Two, back home, DSP Merrill Lynch World Gold Fund, a recently-launched mutual fund that invests in shares of gold mining companies overseas, opened for repurchase. Its return between August 23, when its new fund offer (NFO) closed, and October 3: a stunning 28.8 per cent.
Investment outlookThe scheme has, of course, benefited from the upward trend in gold. Since September 3, the per ounce price of gold has increased by 10.4 per cent, from $672 to $742. The trigger for this latest surge came on September 18, when the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates. The dollar took another tumble, as lower interest rates made it less profitable to hold the US currency.
Investors started trimming their dollar assets and started stocking up on other currencies and assets, including gold, which is widely seen as an alternative for dollar. Says Abheek Barua, chief economist, HDFC Bank: “With the dollar depreciating, gold seems to be emerging as the asset of choice, and is expected to remain fairly strong.”
This is not a new story. The dollar has been in decline since mid-2001, as the financial excesses of the US started catching up with it. The US is nursing a massive current account deficit, due to which the dollar’s stock is falling. Central banks and institutions that once stocked up on dollars are now dumping it in favour of gold (See graphic: The reasons). Says Anup Maheshwari, head of equities and corporate strategy, DSP Merrill Lynch Fund Managers: “Generally, bull runs in commodities last 13-15 years. The current run has been on for seven years now. It hit a peak in 1980, of $800 per ounce. Adjusted for inflation, the equivalent value would be $1,600, which I expect in three years.”
Not everyone shares Maheshwari’s bullishness. Madan Sabnavis, chief economist, National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange Limited, is guarded. “The dollar can’t just keep on depreciating against the Euro, as it hurts European exporters. Europe cutting rates will lend some stability to the dollar.” Bhargava Vaidya, gold analyst, is on the other end. “Demand won’t be strong at this price. Moreover, Gold is its biggest enemy, as it never gets destroyed. It can be reused, which acts as a constraint on demand,” he says. Depending on whom you believe, the outlook ranges from bullish to mild. That hasn’t changed.
Investment optionsWhat has changed is the ways in which you can invest in gold. Barely 10 months ago, investing in gold meant buying jewellery, bars and coins, which entailed hassles like assessing it for purity and storing it safely. Since then, we have seen the mutual fund industry offer innovative products to invest in gold. On cost and convenience, they are the best way to invest in gold, much superior than traditional modes, especially if you are investing only a small sum.
Jewellery. The only reason to buy jewellery is if you plan to use it. The traditional form of investment suffers from many shortcomings. You have to be a judge of purity. Not only there’s no standard pricing, you pay the jeweller a premium at the time of purchase and see a small deduction at the time of sale. Then, there are making charges.
Lastly, the tax structure is the least friendly of all gold investing avenues. The threshold for capital gains tax is three years — less than three years is short term, more than three years is long term. By comparison, in financial instruments like gold ETFs, it is one year. On top of that, you have to pay wealth tax on gold held in physical form: 1 per cent of the incremental amount above Rs 15 lakh. So, if you have gold worth Rs 20 lakh, you will have to pay a wealth tax of Rs 5,000 (1 per cent of Rs 5 lakh). By comparison, gold funds are exempt from wealth tax.
Coins and bars. Increasingly, not just jewellers, banks have also started selling gold bars and coins. Coins, for instance, are available in varying sizes of 2 gm, 3 gm, 5 gm, 8 gm and 10 gm. While purity is not as much of an issue as it is with jewellers — banks assure purity — other limitations of jewellery remain. Storage is an issue, as is the punishing tax structure. Also, to ensure purity, banks charge a premium of 5-20 per cent, which is a fairly high cost to pay for an investment.
Gold ETFs. Gold ETFs get around all these limitations. They give you an exposure to gold without the headache of holding it. In February, Benchmark Mutual Fund launched a gold exchange-traded fund (ETF); subsequently, UTI and Kotak also launched gold ETFs.
The fund house holds the gold, and hence deals with the risk of storage and purity, and these cannot be passed on to you. What you hold are units in dematerialised form, as you do in a stock or mutual fund. The fund declares an NAV, based on which you buy and sell. Each ETF unit essentially represents one gram of gold, which you can buy and sell from the secondary market as and when required. Since the market price will be linked to the spot price of gold at all times, you have a near-mirror exposure to the asset.
A gold ETF is the most cost-efficient way of investing in gold. When you buy or sell, all you pay is the transaction cost (brokerage plus demat costs), which is usually 0.6-1 per cent. By comparison, a jeweller charges a mark-up of 5-7 per cent over the spot price, banks charge 10-20 per cent more.
DSP Merrill Lynch World Gold fund. The newest offering is also the most popular in the mutual funds space. Launched in August, DSP Merrill Lynch World Gold Fund has a corpus of Rs 600 crore — double that of the three ETFs combined. This is a feeder fund. It simply routes its corpus to a global Merrill Lynch fund called Merrill Lynch International Investment
Funds-World Gold Fund, which has invested in gold mining companies like Barrick Gold, Impala and Newcrest Mining. At all times, at least 90 per cent of the domestic fund’s corpus will be in its sister overseas fund.
Gold’s return to favour has given a big boost to the fund’s first returns. Says Maheshwari: “Gold equity has remain ignored for quite some time now, and companies have been trading at relatively low valuations. Generally when gold prices move up by X, gold equity moves up by 1.5X, though the reverse is equally true.”
That statement of Maheshwari neatly outlines the high risk, high reward proposition of this fund. An investment in this fund is influenced not just by the outlook on gold, but also by the outlook on the mining industry and company-specific factors. Says Vaidya: “The mining industry is a highly geared industry. Such an investment is only for those people who are willing to take the mining industry risk.” Unless you are prepared to that higher risk, stick to gold ETFs.http://www.expressmoney.in/news/SHINING-THROUGH/92277.html

Bank Deposit

GOOD TO GO

Sandeep Singh
Posted online: Monday , October 08, 2007 at 1506 IST

For the retired and the elderly looking for a regular income, here’s another worthy investment option: ICICI Regular Income Bonds. The bank is offering four investment options: annual and monthly interest payouts for a tenure of five years and three months, and for 10 years. The standout option is monthly payout for 10 years, on which the bank is offering an interest rate of 9.57 per cent. Illustratively, an investment of Rs 10 lakh will give a monthly interest of Rs 9,570.

Several banks, ICICI included, are offering 10 per cent on their fixed deposits, but that’s generally for tenures of up to five years. ICICI’s Regular Income Bonds are offering that rate over 10 years. Given that interest rates might be near their peaks, those are top terms to lock into today for the best part of your fixed-income portfolio (See table: The peer comparison).
These bonds also insulate senior citizens from certain other inconveniences they face in other fixed-income avenues. ICICI will deduct TDS of 11.3 per cent, but it will conform to the government-mandated easier norms for senior citizens (those over 65 years). Interest income up to Rs 10,000 per year won’t invite any TDS. Even if it’s over Rs 10,000, senior citizens can stop the bank from deducting tax by submitting Form 15H.
This issue closes on Friday. ICICI has set the issue size at Rs 500 crore, with the option to retain another Rs 500 crore. In case of oversubscription, the allotment will be on a pro-rata basis. Further, 70 per cent of the issue is earmarked for those applying for 50 bonds or less. The bonds, which don’t have any lock-in, will be listed on the BSE and NSE, giving investors another exit option.

http://www.expressmoney.in/news/GOOD-TO-GO/92276.html

Stock Picks

STOCK MARKET:
Sandeep Singh
Posted online: Monday , October 01, 2007 at 1405 IST
Reliance Industries: Businesses to rely on
The one stock that has fuelled this rally more than others is Reliance Industries. The company is one of the few large companies offering a heady cocktail of businesses that are stable and profitable (petrochemicals and petroleum) and new businesses that could turn out to be just as big and profitable (retail, and oil and gas exploration).
In the last three years, the Mukesh Ambani-led company's revenues have increased from Rs 69,093 crore to Rs 1,10,405 crore, or a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.9 per cent. Higher product prices have led to net profit increasing at a faster CAGR of 32.4 per cent to Rs 11,943 crore. Net margin has increased from 7.4 per cent in 2003-04 to 10.8 per cent in 2006-07. At its current price of Rs 2,296, the stock discounts its earnings for the trailing four quarters by 27.5 times. While there are small upsides for the company to be had by factors like the current rupee appreciation (lower crude import bill), the company is well placed to grow, while maintaining its profitability. When it comes to building something from scratch, few, if at all any, do it better than Reliance Industries. Still a buy for the long term.

STOCK MARKET: NTPC: Could trip on valuations

Posted online: Monday , October 08, 2007 at 1351 IST
On Thursday, 29 BSE ‘A’ Group stocks hit their all-time highs. Among them was the country’s largest power-generation company, NTPC, which has surged 45.7 per cent in just three months to Rs 228. What gives? Agreed, the power sector is coming alive, with the government following up reforms with intent and spending. Obviously, NTPC, being the largest player in thermal power, will get its share of business, if not more. NTPC has a total commissioned capacity of 54,754 mw, of which 26,850 mw is fully owned by it and the rest through joint ventures. Thus, it controls over 20 per cent of the total installed power capacity in India, while generating 28 per cent of power. In the eleventh five-year plan, the government has set a generation target of 68,869 mw, some of which will be commissioned by NTPC.
While its business prospects are strong, spare a thought for what this spike has done to its valuations. On July 4, NTPC was quoting at a PE of 18.6. Now, it’s 31.2. Historically, the market has given good utility companies PEs of 10-15. Even factoring in the growth shot from new projects, current valuations seem high, and NTPC could trip on it.

STOCK MARKET: Unitech: Nifty moves

Posted online: Monday , September 17, 2007 at 1353 IST
Call it the index effect. On September 11, the National Stock Exchange (NSE) announced that Unitech will replace IPCL from October 5, making it the first real estate stock to enter the index. Since then, the share has appreciated from Rs 254 to Rs 282, or 9.9 per cent. Unitech has been doing well, recording a three-year compounded annual growth in revenues and net profit of 91 per cent and 312 per cent, respectively. But this latest spike seems to have less to do with its prospects and more to do with entering a club where more investors want a piece of it.
Many investments are linked to indices like the Sensex and the Nifty. There are many index funds whose portfolio mirrors the Nifty. There are many FIIs who invest, or do futures and options trading, only in index stocks. All these institutional investors will rush to recalibrate their portfolios. Trading in IPCL’s shares will be suspended following its merger into Reliance Industries. And Unitech will enter more investor portfolios. This will create a spike in demand. But this is a short-term effect. In the long run, Unitech the company holds the fate to Unitech the stock.

STOCK MKT: Tata: The ‘Rs 1 lakh’ question

Posted online: Monday , September 10, 2007 at 1409 IST
A few years ago, Tata Motors took a bold turn to diversify into passenger cars. The stakes in its Rs 1 lakh car, scheduled to be launched by mid-2008, might not be as high as they were back then, but they do have the ability to steer the company on to a higher profit trajectory and a higher market share. The call on the small car project is essentially the call to make on Tata Motors today.
If the car is a success, it can do wonders to Tata Motors' numbers. But if it doesn't capture the numbers, the company will feel the weight of the large investment it is sinking into the project. Going by the track record of the Tatas, the aggressive pricing and what the competition has under their bonnets, the odds are in favour of the Tatas.
At its current price of Rs 698, its stock trades at a PE of 13.5. Its commercial vehicles business is growing well, and cars (Indica and Indigo) is managing to weather slowdowns. Over a three-year period, the company has registered a CAGR of 27 per cent in sales and 30 per cent in net profit. That might slow a tad, but even then is a good reason to own the stock. And if the Rs 1 lakh car turns out to be a hit, so will be the stocks.

Reverse Mortgage

House that!

Sandeep Singh
Posted online: Monday , October 01, 2007

Sometimes, the Kumars (name changed) wish they were younger and fitter. Wistfully, these 60-somethings, living in a middle-class Delhi suburb, recount their tale. He retired from government service seven years ago and got a pension. But it proved to be insufficient when medical problems beset both, and surgeries and medicines started eating into their savings. When their two children refused help, it looked grim. But then, one day, he read about a new product called ‘reverse mortgage’, and it looked like a doorway to a better financial life.

The Kumars had a house. They couldn’t rent it out, but they learnt they could turn it into an income stream in their lifetime, while continuing to live in it. They got in touch with Punjab National Bank (PNB), one of the two players with a reverse mortgage product. PNB assessed the value of their property at
Rs 1.1 crore. It sanctioned a loan on 80 per cent of this (Rs 91 lakh), and structured this loan into monthly payments (like an EMI that you receive).
PNB is paying the Kumars Rs 42,000 per month for 10 years. Says Kumar: “We are able to manage our finances better. The payout takes care of our monthly medical bills and other critical expenses for now.” After 10 years, the payments will stop, but the Kumars can continue living in their house. Only when both of them die will the bank acquire their house. It will offer the Kumars’ legal heirs the option to repay the ‘loan amount’ and take the house. If they don’t, the bank will sell the property and recover its loan amount. Any excess amount over the loan amount generated through the sell-off will be given to the legal heirs of the Kumars.
At present, PNB and Dewan Housing Finance offer reverse mortgage schemes; more banks are expected to join the fray soon, including Allahabad Bank, Bank of Baroda, and Corporation Bank. A reverse mortgage product can be availed by anyone who owns a house, is retired and is above the age of 60 years. While only the monthly payout option is currently available, even a lumpsum is under consideration. The amount of monthly payment is based on the property value, the interest rate charged and the payment tenure (See table: The two options). Like the Kumars, many elderly couples who have a house but not enough income can use that house to ensure a better financial life for themselves in their lifetime.

http://www.expressmoney.in/news/House-that!/92240.html

Reliance Power

STOCK MARKET:
Reliance Power: Where’s the power?

Sandeep Singh
Posted online: Monday , October 15, 2007

Is this reminiscent of the excesses of the mid-nineties or what? On Friday, a pink paper reported that shares of Reliance Power — a Reliance ADA Group company that is more on paper than on the ground, and has recently filed its papers with Sebi for a huge IPO — were being ‘traded’ at a premium to the expected issue price in the grey market in Rajkot.

What are they paying the premium for? It’s baffling. The company has government approval to set up power projects with an installed capacity of 24,200 mw, which includes the recently-awarded 4,000 mw ultra-mega power project in Sasan and its planned mega project in Dadri, UP. Once those are up and running, they should bring in the profits. But the commissioning date of Sasan is April 2016 and there’s no date for Dadri. In fact, if all goes as per schedule, the company’s first revenues will come only in March 2010, with the commissioning of a 600 mw project. So, why this mad rush to buy into a business that is on paper and whose shares don’t even exist today? Excesses of a bull run?

http://www.expressmoney.in/news/STOCK-MARKET:-Reliance-Power:-Wheres-the-power/92299.html